UpFRONT

Stop the Presses, LJ Index and more.
LJ INDEX—JANUARY 2001
  1. Increase in XML usage among Linux developers over the six months prior to September 2000: 75%

  2. Surveyed Linux developers using XML: 28%

  3. Surveyed Linux developers who use XML up to half the time: 27%

  4. Surveyed Linux developers who use Java: 54%

  5. Decline in club meetings over the last 25 years: 58%

  6. Decline in family dinners over the last 25 years: 33%

  7. Decline in “having friends over” over the last 25 years: 45%

  8. Reduction in your chance of dying if you join one club next year: 50%

  9. Year by which open-source standards are expected to completely change the software industry: 2004

  10. Number of unrelated Zelerate (formerly Open Sales) founders whose surname is Ferber: 2

  11. Return on U.S. venture funds in the fourth quarter of 1999: 59.4%

  12. Return on U.S. venture funds in the First quarter of 2000: 23.1%

  13. Return on U.S. venture funds in the Second quarter of 2000: 3.9%

  14. New funds raised by venture capitalists through mid-October of 2000: $64,000,000,000 US

  15. Projected percent return on venture funds over 20 years, as of 6/30/2000: 19.9%

  16. Share price once predicted for Priceline by Merrill Lynch Internet Analyst Henry Blodget: $150 US

  17. Priceline share price on April 22, 2000: $76.38 US

  18. Priceline share price on April 30, 2000: $165 US

  19. Priceline share price projected in May of 2000 by Jamie Kiggen, then of DLJ: $190 US

  20. Priceline share price on October 17, 2000: $5 US

Sources:
  • 1-4: Evans Data Corporation (September 26, 2000)

  • 5-8: BowlingAlone.com

  • 9: Wired, quoting Forester Research

  • 10: Zelerate

  • 11-13: Venture Economics

  • 14: San Jose Mercury News, quoting Venture Economics

  • 15-20: CBS.MarketWatch.com

THEY SAID IT

The work of thought is one of the most ancient and useful activities of humankind. To generate thought is to create life, liveliness, community. Consensus isn't important. What's important is how the generative power of our thought makes life vivid and burns out the dead brush, dead thoughts, dead institutions.

—Michael Ventura

Genius is applying the originality of youth to the experience of maturity.

—Michael Polanyi

Documentation is like sex: when it is good, it is very, very good; and when it is bad, it is better than nothing.

—Dick Brandon

Idealism is fine, but as it approaches reality the costs become prohibitive.

—William Buckley Jr.

Crappy old OSes have value in the basically negative sense that changing to new ones makes us wish we'd never been born.

—Neal Stephenson

Believe it or not, the Internet is actually under-hyped...We are coconspirators in the largest, legal creation of new wealth, primarily in Internet companies.

—L. John Doerr

Perpetual growth is the creed of the cancer cell.

—Edward Abbey

Simple, clear purpose and principles give rise to complex and intelligent behavior. Complex rules and regulations give rise to simple and stupid behavior.

—Dee Hock

The cracked ones let in the light.

—Tom Peters

The only way to be truly creative is to never repeat yourself.

—Rob Breszny

We don't have a good language to talk about this kind of thing. In most people's vocabularies, design means veneer. But to me, nothing could be further from the meaning of design. Design is the fundamental soul of a man-made creation.

—Steve Jobs

The corporation as we know it, which is now 120 years old, is unlikely to survive the next 25 years. Legally and financially yes, but not structurally and economically.

—Peter Drucker

The greatest danger for most of us is not that our aim is too high and we miss it, but that it is too low and we reach it.

—Michelangelo

STOP THE PRESSES: OPEN SALES BECOMES ZELLERATE

Once again we're writing about something before it's happened, for publication afterward. Dig this: where I am, it's still October, the windows are wide open on the 26th floor above West 56th in Manhattan, and the leaves on the trees in Central Park are just starting to turn color. Where you are, every one of those leaves is mulch and Open Sales has long since morphed into Zelerate.

Which is what really matters, for this story. The leaves fall every year. Open Sales can shed its name but once.

It makes sense, of course. Open Sales was founded by two unrelated guys named Ferber (Coincidence? Yes). And a quick check of Google (whose collection of umpty-thousand Linux machines has intimate knowledge of 1,247,340,000 web pages) discloses some persuasive statistics:

  • open = 31,000,000

  • sales = 18,100,000

  • open sales = 801,000

  • “open sales” = 5,180

  • zelerate = 0

In other words, Open Sales was a good example of applied generics. You couldn't ask for better camouflage if your name ended with “Solutions”.

So what's with Zelerate?

Paul Carlstrom, the company's director of corporate communications, says this: “Rob and Glenn (Ferber)...cofounded Open Sales to offer open-source e-commerce applications in 1998. A lot has occurred since that time: The GPL'd software has caught the attention of a growing cadre of developers. The product has matured rapidly. The installed base of Open Sales AllCommerce has risen...”

Soon, the company found itself doing “accelerated commerce solutions”. And, “because we feel you can't get from (a) to (z) without knowing where (z) is located, we've chosen the last letter of the alphabet to start our name.”

Carlstrom also wants us to know that open source is what primarily accounts for development speed—for two reasons.

One is that “we have expanded the open-source model to include customer-mandated direction as part of our development process.”

The other is that Zelerate isn't a product company. it sells service. With enterprise-class applications, he explains, “e-commerce packages can cost in the hundreds of thousands of dollars, and the customer will still end up paying more for services and support than for the original licensing fees.” By not making development secretive, Zelerate allows constant customer input to the development process.

There is a common belief that service companies can't grow (or, to use last year's word, scale) as fast—or as large—as product companies. This may not be a bad thing in any case, but Zelerate is now named to test the theory.

—Doc Searls

______________________

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